Special Edition 2024 - Keys to understanding China
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|Special Edition 2024 - Keys to understanding ChinaEnd of an Era? EU-China Relations in the Light of Russia’s War against Ukraine
Russia’s renewed aggression against Ukraine in February 2022 forced a realist turn in Europe. The Russia-China strategic rapprochement has advanced the eu’s appetite to rebalance eu-China relations. Yet, questions remain as to whether member states have the political will to reconceptualize such ties. Is this the end of an era for eu-China relations?
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|Special Edition 2024 - Keys to understanding ChinaChina and its military ambitions – More than just Taiwan?
Under President Xi Jinping’s leadership, the People’s Liberation Army (pla) has pursued an ambitious modernization effort. By 2049, Xi has instructed the pla to be a world-class military, and by 2027 the pla requires the capability to forcefully reunify Taiwan with China if required. Though China’s global reach is not yet permanent or a political priority, China’s military rise and far-reaching presence already has global implications today.
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|Special Edition 2024 - Keys to understanding ChinaChina’s technological power – implications and risks
Technological competition is a central field of us-China power rivalry. Semi-protectionism, technical learning, targeted knowledge acquisition, party-state guidance without control and competition have made China an innovation powerhouse. This has increased China’s influence on standardization. As a result, China’s economic, political, security and ideational power has grown with risks for supply chain resilience, national security, liberal values and technological competitiveness.
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|Special Edition 2024 - Keys to understanding ChinaChina’s uncertain trail in Latin America
More than two decades have passed since China’s landing in Latin America. This span provides a field of vision that makes one thing evident: the socio-environmental impact and other pernicious effects have overshadowed the benefits of Chinese presence in the region. Contrary to the elite’s optimistic discourse, Latin America risks falling into economic dependence and political subordination to China.
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|Special Edition 2024 - Keys to understanding ChinaChina and its Free Trade Agreements with Latin America
China’s ascent as a prominent fta partner is sparking concerns over trade asymmetry. Still, development opportunities remain of key interest for Latin American governments. Compared to initiatives by other major players, China’s fta track record aligns with Latin American countries seeking quick economic boosts.
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|Special Edition 2024 - Keys to understanding ChinaDealing with China: How can a recalibration of China policy succeed?
In the era of geopolitical conflicts, the question of a successful recalibration of China policy arises. Competition with the communist leadership in Beijing requires improving one’s knowledge of China and strengthening one’s own brilliance. To convince others, one has to convince one’s own players at home.
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|Special Edition 2024 - Keys to understanding ChinaChina’s Soft Power in Latin America
By examining China’s strategic communication, cultural diplomacy, diaspora, and other types of engagement associated with the use of soft power, this paper aims to identify the critical dimensions of China’s soft power dynamics in Latin America, considering the legacy of past scenarios, contemporary developments, and possible future trends.
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|Special Edition 2024 - Keys to understanding ChinaThe “chinese economic miracle”. Separating fact from myth
China’s remarkable economic growth has structurally decelerated since 2010. This paper presents a baseline scenario in which China’s growth is projected to reach 2.4 % by 2035, while examining various downside risks, ranging from population aging to the rapid reduction of returns on assets, and the fast accumulation of debt. Although innovation presents the potential for upward growth, its positive impact on total factor productivity has yet to be witnessed. Overall, the risks to China’s long-term growth generally lean towards the downside.